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News & Articles

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08/11/06 Doha: The Low Hanging Fruit

 A successful outcome to the Doha Round of the WTO trade talks is still possible. I am in contact with leaders and officials both from the world’s most developed nations and from developing countries. When the Doha Development...

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08/11/06 The Road to Self Sufficiency: Analyzing Brazil’s Foreign Oil Trade

Earlier this year, Petrobras announced that Brazil was now self sufficient in oil, fulfilling a dream that was at the heart of the creation of Petrobras more than 50 years ago.  Despite the proclaimed self-sufficiency, Petrobras...

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08/11/06 A View on the Brazilian Stock Market

  The speed with which today’s globalized stock market prices react to changes in economic activity projections, interest rate paths, and fiscal and monetary performance is at an all time high.  Today’s equity market can have...

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08/11/06 The Brazilian Economy – Unfulfilled Potential

 As Brazil’s presidential elections go to a second round at the end of October, the main challenges facing the next government are very different from those Lula confronted four years ago when he took office. Then, the dire need...

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08/11/06 Brazil and the Global Economy: Analyzing the Role of Brazil in Promoting Economic Openness and Multilateralism

In his speech to an audience of Brazilian leaders in São Paulo in September, EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson highlighted the benefits of economic openness and multilateralism to the world's new economic powerhouses of...

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08/08/06 Taking a Closer Look at the Brazilian Elections

  The beginning of the official electoral campaign in July brings us one step closer to choosing Brazil’s next president.  Lula’s position as the clear frontrunner was called into question last month, as Geraldo Alckmin managed...

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08/08/06 Lula Take Two: Markets Should Expect Macroeconomic Stability and Deeper Reforms if Lula Wins a Second Term

Current poll results and other public opinion surveys suggest that Lula will be reelected in October. So, what should the markets expect in a second Lula mandate? Through all the political mishaps of the second half of his...

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08/08/06 The Brazilian Elections: Predictable and Institutionalized

  There are a number of interesting aspects to the forthcoming October/November electoral cycle in Brazil.  First and foremost is the fact that the Brazilian electorate goes to the polls for a second round if a clear winner is...

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08/08/06 Setting the Policy Agenda for 2007: Newly-Elected Officials Will Need to Pursue Tax Reform and Lay Groundwork for Stronger Rates of Growth

A key challenge for the winners of Brazil’s 2006 presidential, legislative and gubernatorial elections is raising the bar on acceptable rates of growth in Brazil. The strengths and weaknesses of any economy and its trend rate of...

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08/08/06 How Low Can Interest Rates Go in Brazil?

The interest rate level has been a permanent focus of attention in the analysis of the Brazilian economy. The reason is that the nation’s interest rates have been, for decades, among the highest in the world. At its last meeting...

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08/08/06 The Latest Poll Results are In… Lula Remains the Front-Runner in the Presidential Race

As campaigning was beginning to intensify in early August in the run-up to the 2006 general elections, NewsBulletin sat down with Ricardo Guedes, President and Director of the Sensus Institute, a leading market and opinion...

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07/28/06 Brazil’s Political and Economic Outlook Remains Strong but Reforms Needed

New York, NY (July 28, 2006) — During a breakfast seminar on July 26th at the headquarters of Debevoise & Plimpton LLP in midtown Manhattan, a distinguished panel of economists and investment bankers analyzed Brazil’s...

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06/11/06 Realizing the Business Potential of Brazilian Soccer

The Brazilian government needs to intervene in Brazilian Soccer in order for the industry to realize its full economic potential.  Such an assertion probably sounds insane for those that defend liberal economic theory in which...

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06/11/06 The Digital Television Revolution in Brazil

 As television around the world begins its digital revolution, Brazilian authorities are considering launching their own domestic version of the technology, a US$1 billion bet on potential demand from 180 million consumers. If...

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06/11/06 Protectionism – European Style

 Brazil is the world’s largest producer of instant coffee, but we are losing ground in international markets.  While instant coffee processors in Europe increased their share of the market from 48% to 68%, Brazil’s share of the...

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06/11/06 Recent Victories in Brazil’s Anti-Piracy Crusade

Brazil’s Receita Federal (RF), or Federal Revenue and Customs Administration, seized more than 3.6 million CD-Rs and DVD-Rs in the second half of May 2006 in Itajaí (SC), bringing the total for the year to more than 11 million...

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06/11/06 Can Lula Win in the First Round?

 Having recovered his popularity at the end of last year, Lula has maintained a comfortable lead over all potential opponents ever since. The exception, of course, would have been José Serra (PSDB), then mayor of São Paulo. But...

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06/11/06 Working Towards a WTO Agreement

 The political issues surrounding the Doha Round necessitate a high degree of responsibility and adeptness on the part of the negotiators.  If we analyze the recent past and the debt that the international trade system has with...

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06/11/06 The Future of Brazil’s Music Industry

What can be said about a country that ranks in the top ten markets in the world for CD sales, but no longer seems able to develop its own megastars.   Huge circulation numbers are a thing of the past.  The trend is towards...

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06/11/06 The Pan American Games Rio 2007: Taking a Closer Look at the Potential Economic Impact of the Games

International sports competitions have become major productions that spark strong interest from the general public, the media and sponsors alike.  Today, sports and entertainment walk hand in hand.  Mega-events such as the...

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